The Slatest

Today’s Trump Apocalypse Watch: Are We Still Doing This?

These will likely be some disappointed humans on Nov. 8.

Jessica Kourkounis/Getty Images

The Trump Apocalypse Watch is a subjective daily estimate, using a scale of one to four horsemen, of how likely it is that Donald Trump will be elected president, thus triggering an apocalypse in which we all die.

Are we still doing this? I guess we’re still doing this.

  • FiveThirtyEight gives Trump a 13.9 percent chance of winning the presidency.
  • The New York Times’ Upshot gives Trump a 7 percent chance of winning the presidency.
  • Sam Wang’s Princeton Election Consortium gives Trump a 1 percent chance of winning the presidency.

That averages out to a little bit more than 7 percent chance that Donald Trump will have the opportunity to blow up the world in four minutes. I personally am more inclined to believe Wang’s odds of 1 percent, but there you have it.

However you slice it, Donald Trump’s odds of being president are still incredibly low.

Photo illustration by Slate. Photo by Getty Images, Wikimedia Commons.

Read more Slate coverage of the 2016 campaign.