The Trump Apocalypse Watch is a subjective daily estimate, using a scale of one to four horsemen, of how likely it is that Donald Trump will be elected president, thus triggering an apocalypse in which we all die.
I’ll let polling guru Nate Silver do the arduous work of listing what the various forecasting models currently say about Trump’s chances of winning in November:
I will, however, give you my own exclusive analysis of what those numbers mean: Trump’s chances are bad. And the closer we get to the election without a major shift in the polls, the worse his chances get. The pollsters at Quinnipiac, in fact, are starting to use the L-word: Landslide. From a statement:
In the battle of the unloved presidential candidates, Democrat Hillary Clinton tops the magical 50 percent mark among American likely voters, leading Republican Donald Trump 51 - 41 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today … “We are starting to hear the faint rumblings of a Hillary Clinton landslide as her 10-point lead is further proof that Donald Trump is in a downward spiral as the clock ticks,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
With the election still more than two months off, those rumblings are faint indeed, but after all we’ve been through, they’re still heartening.
Photo illustration by Slate. Photo by Getty Images, Wikimedia Commons
