The Slatest

Today’s Trump Apocalypse Watch: The Ol’ Mixed Bag of Swing State Polls

Donald Trump in Westfield, Indiana on Tuesday.

Aaron P. Bernstein/Getty Images

The Trump Apocalypse Watch is a subjective daily estimate, using a scale of one to four horsemen, of how likely it is that Donald Trump will be elected president, thus triggering an apocalypse in which we all die.

Good news for Donald “The Donald” Trump: He’s doing well in some new polling in swing states, which has pushed his odds of winning in November up to almost 30 percent in FiveThirtyEight’s projections.

Bad news for Donald “Mr. Melania Knauss” Trump: Some of those polls also found that he is projecting to win zero (0) percent of the black vote in certain states, a result that underlines the difficulty he’ll have actually getting ahead of Hillary Clinton in a country that is not entirely composed of white people. (He’s still down about 5 percent in national poll aggregates.) For now, our danger level remains low.

Photo illustration by Slate. Photo by Getty Images, Wikimedia Commons