The Trump Apocalypse Watch is a subjective daily estimate, using a scale of one to four horsemen, of how likely it is that Donald Trump will be elected president, thus triggering an apocalypse in which we all die.
Aside from one outlier poll, today was strongly in the “not good” category for our friend D. Trump. To wit:
- A New York Times investigation found that parts of the curriculum for a scammy aughts-era enterprise called the “Trump Institute” were plagiarized.
- Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight site released general-election projections that give Trump only a 20 percent chance of beating Hillary Clinton. Yes, Silver said for a long time that Trump had no chance of winning the primary; that was mostly a case of Silver not believing what the polls were telling him, though. Now the hard data is going against Trump.
- A Pew poll found that a majority of Americans think the U.S. is the world’s greatest economic power for the first time since at least 2008. That’s not an auspicious result for a candidate who just got done giving a major speech about how the American economy is terrible and it’s Obama’s fault.
Our danger level is going down. Sad (for Donald Trump, good for everyone else)!