The Slatest

Today’s Trump Apocalypse Watch: [Tugs Collar Uneasily]

Donald Trump delivering a foreign policy speech Wednesday in Washington, D.C. 

Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

The Trump Apocalypse Watch is a subjective daily estimate, using a scale of one to four horsemen, of how likely it is that Donald Trump will be elected president, thus triggering an apocalypse in which we all die.

Hmm. Donald Trump did very well in Tuesday night’s primaries, surprising even polling guru Nate Silver:

The real estate heir is now back on track—assuming he stays ahead in Indiana and California, where he’s leading polls—to win the Republican nomination on the first ballot at this summer’s GOP convention. He also gave a foreign policy speech Wednesday that may have convinced some pundits that he’s “serious” enough to be president. And a new George Washington University poll found him trailing Hillary Clinton by only three points in a hypothetical general-election matchup.

The good news for decent Trump-fearing folk is he is still acting like the same old Trump that Americans for the most part find very offputting; he ended his victory speech last night with a sexist remark about Hillary Clinton that even made me—a straight male man of the masculine gender who is not particularly fond of Clinton—want to run out and vote for her out of feminist solidarity. His foreign policy speech, meanwhile, didn’t actually make sense.

There’s also the fact that the George Washington poll was an outlier—most comparable polls still have Clinton winning a Trump matchup easily. Still, like it says at the top, this is a subjective estimate of fearfulness, and seeing Trump trailing Hillary by only three points in that GW poll on the night that he swept five primaries definitely made me very, very afraid. I’m raising the danger level.

Photo illustration by Slate. Photo by Getty Images, Wikimedia Commons