The Trump Apocalypse Watch is a subjective daily estimate, using a scale of one to four horsemen, of how likely it is that Donald Trump will be elected president, thus triggering an apocalypse in which we all die.
All the Donald Trump haters eager to stave off the apocalypse have something to cheer about at happy hour tonight after the real estate mogul suffered what some are calling his worst week since he lost Iowa two months ago. And next week isn’t looking too good either as everyone is predicting the real estate mogul will suffer an embarrassing defeat in Wisconsin on Tuesday. Let’s look at where the optimism that the apocalypse may be averted is coming from:
- Women really don’t like Trump. And the more they get to know him, the less they like him. Seven out of 10 women in the United States hold an unfavorable opinion on Trump, according to Gallup. Sure, women have never really been fans of the man who loves to insult women, but that unfavorable rating has been increasing since January.
- And it isn’t just women. Men dislike Trump too, with 58 percent holding an unfavorable view on Trump, compared to 36 percent who see him favorably. He’s clearly the most disliked out of all the candidates.
- Trump is also sounding very much like a politician. Trying to weasel his way out of his statement that women who have abortions should be punished, the presidential hopeful took a play right out of the book of politician clichés and said he was taken out of context. He even accused MSNBC of malpractice. “This was a long, convoluted question,” Trump said on Fox News. “This was a long discussion and they just cut it out.” MSNBC quickly fired back, saying the interview was “aired in its entirety.” Trump said “it could be that I misspoke.”
- The convention may be months away but delegates are already taking about abandoning Trump. If he heads to the Republican convention without the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination outright, more than 100 delegates are ready to break from him, reports Politico.
- Even if he does get the necessary delegates to win at the math game, there’s little chance Republicans will unite behind him. According to the latest Pew study, 56 percent of registered Republicans say the GOP will not unite behind Trump, while only 38 percent disagree. “This is the most skeptical either party’s electorate has been of their party’s ability to unite behind a frontrunner in at least 20 years,” note Pew.
- Online predictions market PredictIt says Trump’s chances of winning the nomination have plunged to 44 percent from 67 percent a week ago.
Without any morsel of good news anywhere in sight, Trump certainly didn’t increase his chances of being elected president today. So he stays at half a horseman.
Photo illustration by Slate. Photo by Getty Images, Wikimedia Commons
