Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders appear fairly well set for easy victories in New Hampshire’s Tuesday primary, the latest poll aggregations and projections say:
- RealClearPolitics’ averages have Sanders leading Hillary Clinton 53.3 percent to 40.5 percent and Trump 17 points ahead of the Republican pack.
- The “CNN Poll of Polls” has Sanders leading 54 percent to 40 percent and Trump 16 points ahead.
- And FiveThirtyEight’s comprehensive projections (which factor in state and national polls and endorsements) give Trump a 71 percent chance of winning and Sanders a higher than 99 percent chance.
The real action is in the competition for second place in the Republican field, where CNN and RCP both have Rubio’s support at 15 percent; all of the CNN polling and most of the RCP polling, though, was conducted before Rubio’s already-infamous performance in Saturday night’s debate. John Kasich, who seemed to do well in the debate and has picked up a number of New Hampshire endorsements, is in third in the FiveThirtyEight projections and in fourth, narrowly behind Ted Cruz’s 13 percent, in both the CNN and RCP numbers.
