Maine Marriage Equality: Poll shows Maine poised to pass gay marriage referendum.

LGBT Advocates Poised For Historic Win in Maine

LGBT Advocates Poised For Historic Win in Maine

The Slatest
Your News Companion
Oct. 1 2012 12:01 PM

Will Gay-Marriage Advocates' Long Ballot Losing Streak End in Maine?

Coming soon to Maine?

Photo by David McNew/Getty Images.

Voters have gone to the polls more than 30 times since 1998 to have their say on statewide ballot measure on gay marriage. Advocates for same-sex marriage have lost every time. But that could very well change this year with the issue on November ballots in a small handful of liberal-leaning states.

One leading candidate to break that streak: Maine.


According to a new poll from Pine Tree State polling outfit Critical Insights, Maine's ballot initiative to overturn the state's current ban on same-sex marriage is currently poised to pass this November. The poll suggests support that is almost too good to be true for gay-rights advocates: 57 percent in favor, 36 percent against, and 7 percent undecided, good for a 21-point lead with a little more than a month to go. Support is particularly strong among Democrats (81 percent), college grads (69 percent), and 18-to-34-years-old (77 percent).

Prior to this year's North Carolina referendum, Maine voters had been the last to hold a statewide vote on the issue, in 2009, when 53 percent of voters rejected the bid to allow gays and lesbians to walk down the aisle.

Gay-marriage initiatives are also on the ballots in Maryland, Minnesota, and Washington state this fall.

Josh Voorhees is a Slate senior writer. He lives in Iowa City.