Angela Merkel Has a 66 Percent Approval Rating

A blog about business and economics.
July 8 2012 11:24 AM

Angela Merkel Has a 66 Percent Approval Rating, but Her Coalition May Not Survive

German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande attend a ceremony to celebrate 50 years of French and German reconciliation, on July 8, 2012 in Reims, France

Photograph by Patrick Aventurier/Getty Images.

Nobody in America is thrilled with Angela Merkel's handling of the European economic situation, but don't expect a change:

Two-thirds of Germans, or 66 per cent, are satisfied with the chancellor’s work, a leap of 8 points from June and Ms Merkel’s highest score since the first bailout of Greece, according to a poll published yesterday by the ARD public television network.

Interestingly, despite Merkel's popularity the same poll suggests that if an election were held tomorrow (which it won't be) Merkel's government would collapse:


Merkel's party, the CDU/CSU, would finish first place which is what you would expect from a party led by a broadly popular incumbent Chancellor. But her junior coalition partners in the FDP would get hammered. That four percent they're polling at is wildly lower than how they did in the last election and—more important—suggests they'd slip through a crucial five percent minimum threshhold. Between the FDP's poor showing and the Greens' strong showing, this structure of public opinion could easily lead to a SPD/Green coalition government (although you would have to wonder if this many people would really vote Pirate at the end of the day).

That said, Merkel has a sky-high approval rating and when ARD asked voters head-to-head whether they're prefer her or SPD leader Sigmar Gabriel to be chancellor she wins in a landslide. So realistically the most likely alternative to today's coalition might be a CDU/SPD "grand coalition" led by Merkel with the Greens, Pirates, and Left forming a fractious opposition.

Matthew Yglesias is the executive editor of Vox and author of The Rent Is Too Damn High.



Blacks Don’t Have a Corporal Punishment Problem

Americans do. But when blacks exhibit the same behaviors as others, it becomes part of a greater black pathology. 

I Bought the Huge iPhone. I’m Already Thinking of Returning It.

Scotland Is Just the Beginning. Expect More Political Earthquakes in Europe.

Students Aren’t Going to College Football Games as Much Anymore

And schools are getting worried.

Two Damn Good, Very Different Movies About Soldiers Returning From War

The XX Factor

Lifetime Didn’t Think the Steubenville Rape Case Was Dramatic Enough

So they added a little self-immolation.

Medical Examiner

The Most Terrifying Thing About Ebola 

The disease threatens humanity by preying on humanity.

Why a Sketch of Chelsea Manning Is Stirring Up Controversy

How Worried Should Poland, the Baltic States, and Georgia Be About a Russian Invasion?

  News & Politics
Sept. 20 2014 11:13 AM -30-
Business Insider
Sept. 20 2014 6:30 AM The Man Making Bill Gates Richer
Sept. 20 2014 7:27 AM How Do Plants Grow Aboard the International Space Station?
  Double X
The XX Factor
Sept. 19 2014 1:11 PM Why Men Never Remember Anything
  Slate Plus
Slate Picks
Sept. 19 2014 12:00 PM What Happened at Slate This Week? The Slatest editor tells us to read well-informed skepticism, media criticism, and more.
Brow Beat
Sept. 20 2014 3:21 PM “The More You Know (About Black People)” Uses Very Funny PSAs to Condemn Black Stereotypes
Future Tense
Sept. 19 2014 5:03 PM White House Chief Information Officer Will Run U.S. Ebola Response
  Health & Science
Bad Astronomy
Sept. 20 2014 7:00 AM The Shaggy Sun
Sports Nut
Sept. 18 2014 11:42 AM Grandmaster Clash One of the most amazing feats in chess history just happened, and no one noticed.