The Tragedy of Keystone XL

A blog about business and economics.
Dec. 19 2011 12:36 PM

The Tragedy of Keystone XL

WASHINGTON, DC - DECEMBER 02: Special Representative of Pipe Line Division of United Association Journeymen and Apprentices of the Plumbing and Pipe Fitting Industry of the United States and Canada David Barnett testifies during a hearing before the Subcommittee on Energy and Power of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce December 2, 2011 on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC. The subcommittee held the hearing on 'Expediting the Keystone XL Pipeline: Energy Security and Jobs.' (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images

I've been a bit reluctant to write about the Keystone XL pipeline since, among other things, my uncle is on the board of TransCanada but as the pipeline holdup moves closer to the center of the payroll tax debate, it's worth saying that progressives have a fairly weak case on the merits here. I'm increasingly alarmed at our failure to make meaningful progress toward a binding agreement on greenhouse gas emissions, but the conceit that stifling random fossil fuel projects is a close substitute for an agreement on emissions reductions doesn't really make sense.

Now it's true that, ceteris paribus, higher levels of economic output will lead to higher greenhouse gas emissions and in that sense anything that reduces output helps curb emissions and if you can reduce output by specifically targeting the fossil fuel industry then so much the better. Indeed, I'm sometimes surprised that we don't see more in the way of deliberate guerilla efforts to sabotage coal plants or blow up oil refineries. But the basic reality is that if you want major emitters to reduce CO2 pollution, what you need is legislation limiting CO2 pollution not action against new pipeline construction. This is particularly true because the world would need new fuel extraction and transportation infrastructure even in a world of falling emissions. Not only are supply restrictions a poor substitute for emission curbs as environmental policy, they compare terribly as economic policy. Taxing carbon emissions produces revenue that can be deployed for useful purposes or used to offset other taxes. Industry rhetoric aside, there's no reason to think well-designed emission curbs would have any negative economic impact whatsoever. Pipeline construction, by contrast, would create several thousand temporary construction jobs at moment when the country could really use several thousand temporary construction jobs. And beyond the jobs question, as James Hamilton's Keystone XL costs and benefits rundown argues, looking at things like the current market price of light sweet crude from North Dakota suggests that the total overall economic value created by the pipeline would be quite large. 


Now to stop playing dumb for a minute, obviously, we don't make public policy in a large diverse democracy through rational argument. American politics is currently contested between a vision of the country as a large-scale fossil fuel extractor and a vision of the country as a key driver of moving the world into a more ecologically sustainable paradigm. This is a multi-front war, and American participation in a global process of CO2 emissions reduction is a key strategic objective. Keystone XL is a tactical fight that both sides are engaged in with a level of vehemence that outweighs the objective stakes. A world where America taxes carbon and continues to build out fossil fuel infrastructure is a much better world to live in than a world where both carbon pricing and large new infrastructure projects get vetoed. But that sage compromise isn't on the table, so the battle continues to play out against a backdrop of political institutions that are heavily weighted in favor of the status quo. We could have economic growth and ecological sustainability, but instead we're on a path that will deliver neither.

Matthew Yglesias is the executive editor of Vox and author of The Rent Is Too Damn High.



The World’s Politest Protesters

The Occupy Central demonstrators are courteous. That’s actually what makes them so dangerous.

The Religious Right Is Not Happy With Republicans  

The XX Factor
Oct. 1 2014 4:58 PM The Religious Right Is Not Happy With Republicans  

The Feds Have Declared War on Encryption—and the New Privacy Measures From Apple and Google

The One Fact About Ebola That Should Calm You

It spreads slowly.

These “Dark” Lego Masterpieces Are Delightful and Evocative


Operation Backbone

How White Boy Rick, a legendary Detroit cocaine dealer, helped the FBI uncover brazen police corruption.


Talking White

Black people’s disdain for “proper English” and academic achievement is a myth.

Activists Are Trying to Save an Iranian Woman Sentenced to Death for Killing Her Alleged Rapist

Piper Kerman on Why She Dressed Like a Hitchcock Heroine for Her Prison Sentencing

  News & Politics
Oct. 1 2014 7:26 PM Talking White Black people’s disdain for “proper English” and academic achievement is a myth.
Oct. 1 2014 2:16 PM Wall Street Tackles Chat Services, Shies Away From Diversity Issues 
Oct. 1 2014 6:02 PM Facebook Relaxes Its “Real Name” Policy; Drag Queens Celebrate
  Double X
The XX Factor
Oct. 1 2014 5:11 PM Celebrity Feminist Identification Has Reached Peak Meaninglessness
  Slate Plus
Behind the Scenes
Oct. 1 2014 3:24 PM Revelry (and Business) at Mohonk Photos and highlights from Slate’s annual retreat.
Brow Beat
Oct. 1 2014 9:39 PM Tom Cruise Dies Over and Over Again in This Edge of Tomorrow Supercut
Future Tense
Oct. 1 2014 6:59 PM EU’s Next Digital Commissioner Thinks Keeping Nude Celeb Photos in the Cloud Is “Stupid”
  Health & Science
Oct. 1 2014 4:03 PM Does the Earth Really Have a “Hum”? Yes, but probably not the one you’re thinking.
Sports Nut
Oct. 1 2014 5:19 PM Bunt-a-Palooza! How bad was the Kansas City Royals’ bunt-all-the-time strategy in the American League wild-card game?