Nostradamus and Nate Silver make predicting the future look easy. But there’s no formula to determine if Bashar al-Assad, Obama's approval rating, Twitter's stock price, or Spain's soccer fortunes will fall in 2014. Such forecasting is partly a science, partly an art and mostly a gamble -- a thought-provoking, dots-connecting gamble. To try your hand at divining the future, enter D.C. think tank and Future Tense partner New America's fifth annual, famously idiosyncratic, forecasting contest for the year ahead. (It's free; entries must be submitted by Friday, January 10 at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time.) And check out the surprising results of New America's 2013 forecasting contest and what they say about the times we live in.
TODAY IN SLATE
Driving in Circles
The autonomous Google car may never actually happen.
Where Ebola Lives Between Outbreaks
Gunman Killed Inside Canadian Parliament; Soldier Shot at National Monument Dies
Sleater-Kinney Was Once America’s Best Rock Band
Can it be again?
The Simpsons World App Is Here, and Nearly Perfect
“I’m Not a Scientist” Is No Excuse
Politicians brag about their ignorance while making ignorant decisions.
The Right to Run
If you can vote, you should be able to run for public office—any office.