Since 2004, every male lead actor who has won the Screen Actors Guild Award has gone on to win the Best Actor Academy Award that season. Since 2003, all but three SAG female lead actor winners have gone on to win the Best Actress Academy Award that season. And so with this year’s crop of just-announced nominees, it’s safe to say that we’ve got a good look at what some of the Oscar acting nominees will look like next month.
Among the safe bets are Casey Affleck, Mahershala Ali, Natalie Portman, and Viola Davis, actors who have all heard their name announced repeatedly as the awards season has progressed. Meryl Streep’s nod for Florence Foster Jenkins is not so surprising considering how much everyone adores her—though Emily Blunt for the panned Girl on a Train might be, especially considering Isabelle Huppert’s buzzed-about performance in Elle didn’t make the cut.
A few bright spots on the TV side of things: The People v. O.J. Simpson dominating several categories, Jane Fonda and Lily Tomlin being recognized for their excellent performances in Grace and Frankie, and Tituss Burgess for being the continuously being the best part of Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt. Check out the rest of the nominees, below.
Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
Captain Fantastic
Fences
Hidden Figures
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences
Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Amy Adams, Arrival
Emily Blunt, The Girl on the Train
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion
Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series
The Crown
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
Stranger Things
Westworld
Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series
The Big Bang Theory
Blackish
Modern Family
Orange Is the New Black
Veep
Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
Riz Ahmed, The Night Of
Sterling K. Brown, People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Bryan Cranston, All the Way
John Turturro, The Night Of
Courtney B. Vance, People v O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
Bryce Dallas Howard, Black Mirror
Felicity Huffman, American Crime
Audra MacDonald, Lady Day at Emerson’s Bar & Grill
Sarah Paulson, The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Kerry Washington, Confirmation
Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series
Sterling K. Brown, This Is Us
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
John Lithgow, The Crown
Rami Malek, Mr. Robot
Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series
Millie Bobby Brown, Stranger Things
Claire Foy, The Crown
Thandie Newton, Westworld
Winona Ryder, Stranger Things
Robin Wright, House of Cards
Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series
Anthony Anderson, Black-ish
Tituss Burgess, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
William H. Macy, Shameless
Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent
Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series
Uzo Aduba, Orange Is the New Black
Jane Fonda, Grace and Frankie
Ellie Kemper, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Julia Louis Dreyfus, Veep
Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie
