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Sure, exit polls are notoriously unreliable and they don’t matter, but they’re all the data we have for a while. So, let’s delve into the juicy stats from the surprisingly close GOP race in Virginia: At least one poll leading up to today's event showed Read More...
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A quick assessment of pre-election polling versus election results over at RealClearPolitics shows a typical sampling of accuracy and error in RCP's average of major polls. (See chart at end of post.) But social psychologist Jon Krosnick , a professor Read More...
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In a conference call this afternoon, Hillary addressed the Michigan exit poll result that showed “Uncommitted” beating her among African-Americans, nearly 70 percent to 26 percent. Asked whether this could hurt her in South Carolina and beyond, she replied, Read More...
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It's poll-a-palooza out there today. Some highlights from the CNN/WMUR ( Dems' PDF ; GOP's PDF ) poll in New Hampshire. Rudy Giuliani has stalled in New Hampshire and hasn't broken the 20-point barrier since early November. McCain, meanwhile, is gently Read More...
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Hillary Clinton’s camp is positively afloat over the new NBC News/ WSJ poll . Bush’s ratings remain in the dumps, half of Americans want a Democratic president (as opposed to 35 percent who want a Republican commander-in-chief), and it looks like Clinton’s Read More...
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