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  Obama's Entrance Poll Woes

  If the entrance polls are suggestive of real votes in Nevada, Barack Obama has a big problem on his hands. Ms. Clinton, meanwhile, has reason to celebrate and wonder why all the hoopla over unions and caucus sites was necesasry. According to CNN:

  • Seventy-two percent of voters surveyed were older than 45, and they favored Clinton over Obama.
  • More female voters than male. Both genders favored Clinton over Obama, but women especially so (52 percent to 30 percent).
  • Sixty-five percent of voters say this week's debate in Nevada played into their decision, and Clinton leads among those voters by considerable margins.
  • Eighty-three percent of voters were Democrats, 52 percent of whom chose Clinton and 33 percent of whom chose Obama.
  • The silver lining for Obama is the 12 percent of voters who said they were supporting John Edwards. Reason follows that they would go to Obama as a second-choice candidate, not Hillary, because of the two candidates' change messages.
  We must caution that these are entrance polls, so they aren't the most reliable metric in the race.
  
  Published Saturday, January 19, 2008 3:46 PM by Chadwick Matlin
  Email Chadwick.Matlin+TH@gmail.com

  Filed under: Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Nevada caucus

About Chadwick Matlin

• Chadwick Matlin is the staff reporter for Slate's The Big Money, a new business site launching in the fall. He can be reached at Chadwick.Matlin+TH@gmail.com