How shipping companies should respond to the failed airplane bombing.

Military analysis.
Nov. 1 2010 3:12 PM

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How shipping companies should respond to the failed airplane bombing.

UPS plane. Click image to expand.
Emirates and UPS cargo planes sit on the tarmac of Dubai airport a day after the attempted bombing.

Here's a jaw-dropping statistic to keep in mind while wondering whether more can be done to prevent terrorists in places like Yemen from mailing bomb packages to the United States.

Fred Kaplan Fred Kaplan

Fred Kaplan is the author of The Insurgents and the Edward R. Murrow press fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations.

On the day last week when terrorists in Yemen did just that—one via FedEx, the other via UPS—the total number of packages that both shipping companies sent out of Yemen was 13.

That's 13 packages total, according to a U.S. law-enforcement official, including the two that contained the bombs.

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In other words, there is no good reason why this attempted attack could not have been pre-empted from the get-go. It's not as if the shipping clerks were too busy to take much notice when a customer approached them with an order to ship what she said was a printer to Chicago.

A shipping clerk in London or Paris might be forgiven for letting a suspicious package slip through out of the thousands that move in and out in the course of a day. But letting two out of 13 go through?

Since Yemen has been officially designated a central swamp of al-Qaida activity, one would think that the local employees of the two major U.S.-owned shipping companies might be trained—if not required by law—to follow certain procedures when someone tries to ship anything to a Western country, or at least anything bigger than the slenderest of envelopes.

The bombs in these packages appear to have been so well-hidden that even a sophisticated government scanner would not have detected them. (The packages were found only because an informer, working for the Saudi government, supplied their tracking numbers.) But as the security officers for Israel's El Al airline can attest, a few probing questions can make a bomb-smuggler sweat—and any display of nervousness would then warrant a thorough inspection of the luggage and more.

Some questions that the FedEx and UPS clerks should have asked the bomb-shippers that day, as a matter of policy if not second nature: Who is this person in Chicago that you're sending this to? How do you know him? Why does he need someone to send printing supplies from Yemen?

(By the way, according to one U.S. security consultant, the packages were addressed not to two synagogues—the terrorists weren't that explicit about their intentions—but to two addresses where synagogues are, or at one time were, located.)

Faced with this interrogation, the customer might have walked away: plot foiled. Or she might have hesitated a bit too long over one answer or another—justifying a closer look at the situation, a calling-in of the authorities, at very least a delay in putting that package on a plane.