Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.
Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.
The odds of war in Iraq.
March 6 2003 4:02 PM

Straw Bridge

The odds of war.


Chance of Invasion
Today: 99 percent

China joins French-Russian-German pact to block war resolution. Turkey indicates its vote on U.S. troop deployments hinges on Security Council decision. Daschle says Bush is "rushing to war without an adequate concern for the ramifications of doing so … with a very small coalition." Britain invites council fence-sitters to revise war resolution to their liking, possibly by giving Saddam a few days to comply. Blair says he'll go to war without U.N. if resolution is vetoed "unreasonably." Blix lauds Iraqi cooperation. Iraq has destroyed 34 banned missiles out of an estimated 100.


Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

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