HOME /  Saddameter :  The odds of war in Iraq.

Pitted Dates

The odds of war.

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Chance of Invasion
Today: 99 percent

Angola, Cameroon, Chile, Guinea, Mexico, and Pakistan propose 45-day deadline. U.S. and Britain reject it but indicate some room for bargaining. U.S. plays up Iraqi resistance to latest U-2 overflight; Russia says it's no big deal. Japan, a major source of foreign aid, lobbies fence-sitters to support U.S. resolution. Bush's domestic political support for war grows stronger; Blair's remains weak.

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Will Saletan covers science, technology, and politics for Slate and says a lot things that get him in trouble.