Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.
Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.
The odds of war in Iraq.
March 11 2003 1:24 PM

Pitted Dates

The odds of war.


Chance of Invasion
Today: 99 percent

Angola, Cameroon, Chile, Guinea, Mexico, and Pakistan propose 45-day deadline. U.S. and Britain reject it but indicate some room for bargaining. U.S. plays up Iraqi resistance to latest U-2 overflight; Russia says it's no big deal. Japan, a major source of foreign aid, lobbies fence-sitters to support U.S. resolution. Bush's domestic political support for war grows stronger; Blair's remains weak.


Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

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