Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
March 11 2003 1:24 PM

Pitted Dates

The odds of war.

92_030225_saddameter_98

Chance of Invasion
Today: 99 percent

Angola, Cameroon, Chile, Guinea, Mexico, and Pakistan propose 45-day deadline. U.S. and Britain reject it but indicate some room for bargaining. U.S. plays up Iraqi resistance to latest U-2 overflight; Russia says it's no big deal. Japan, a major source of foreign aid, lobbies fence-sitters to support U.S. resolution. Bush's domestic political support for war grows stronger; Blair's remains weak.

22_saddameter_graph

Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.