Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
March 5 2003 12:34 PM

No Exit

The odds of war.

92_030225_saddameter_98

Chance of Invasion
Today: 99 percent

France and Russia declare they "will not allow a resolution to pass that authorizes resorting to force." Upshot: U.S. must either back down without explicit war deadline or attack without U.N. approval. Odds of U.S. troop deployment in Turkey rise steeply as Turkish military leader endorses deployment and legislators indicate they'll vote for it. Iraqi official shocks meeting of Muslim countries by telling Kuwaitis, "Shut up, you minion, you [U.S.] agent, you monkey. … You are insolent. You are a traitor to the Islamic nation."

22_saddameter_graph

Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

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