Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Feb. 21 2003 3:45 PM

U.N., We Out

The odds of war.

33_030205_saddameter_95

Chance of Invasion
Today: 95 percent

Turkish foreign minister says Turkey and U.S. have reached " very broad agreement on all subjects. … I think we will be able to overcome the differences." Blix will ask Iraq to answer 30 questions before his March 7 Security Council briefing. Rumsfeld says U.S. now has "ample" forces in place to attack, but Powell says if Saddam "complies, or if he leaves the country tomorrow, there will be no war." U.N. removes half its aid workers from Iraq in preparation for possible evacuation.

22_saddameter_graph

Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

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