Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Feb. 11 2003 4:46 PM

U-2 May Be a Winner

The odds of war.

33_030205_saddameter_95

Chance of Invasion
Today: 94 percent

Iraq yields to inspectors' demands for U-2 flights and a domestic Iraqi ban on WMD. China rhetorically joins French-German-Russian axis for inspections instead of war. German source says 11 of 15 Security Council members favor extending inspections. Putin indicates Russia would veto "an unreasonable use of force." In worst PR move since Willie Horton endorsed Michael Dukakis, Bin Laden urges Muslims to defend Iraq.

22_saddameter_graph

Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

  Slate Plus
Political Gabfest
Oct. 31 2014 1:29 PM You, The Gabfest, and a Hotel Room Win tickets to attend a taping of the Political Gabfest, live from David’s Chicago hotel room.