Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.
Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.
The odds of war in Iraq.
Feb. 11 2003 4:46 PM

U-2 May Be a Winner

The odds of war.


Chance of Invasion
Today: 94 percent

Iraq yields to inspectors' demands for U-2 flights and a domestic Iraqi ban on WMD. China rhetorically joins French-German-Russian axis for inspections instead of war. German source says 11 of 15 Security Council members favor extending inspections. Putin indicates Russia would veto "an unreasonable use of force." In worst PR move since Willie Horton endorsed Michael Dukakis, Bin Laden urges Muslims to defend Iraq.


Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.