Chance of Invasion
Today: 95 percent
Blix says Iraq's latest move—a scientist's submission to an inspector interview without an Iraqi government minder—isn't enough. ElBaradei says Iraq must make big concessions before he and Blix arrive for talks on Feb. 14. Britain will reportedly introduce a war resolution after those talks. Russia sees no grounds for a war resolution but says Iraq "must provide materials proving that it had dismantled the weapons it had." Poland closes the U.S. interest section in Poland's Baghdad embassy at U.S. request. Peace spin: Iraq will give more ground. War spin: Not soon enough.