Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Feb. 25 2003 5:05 PM

Resolved

The odds of war.

92_030225_saddameter_98

Chance of Invasion
Today: 98 percent

Washington Post says U.S. is telling Security Council diplomats its war decision "is already final." Blix calls new Iraqi weapons disclosures  "positive," but Fleischer says they show Iraq lied  and is stalling for time. Saddam says  of missiles Blix told him to destroy, "We do not have missiles that go beyond the proscribed range." Mexican president urges  Iraq to "immediately dismantle" the missiles. U.S. ambassador to France warns  "we wouldn't look very kindly upon" a French veto of new U.N. war resolution. Haggling continues  with Turkey, but deployment isn't in jeopardy. U.S. inflicts heaviest bombing  in no-fly zones since November.

22_saddameter_graph

Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

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