HOME /  Saddameter :  The odds of war in Iraq.

Pressed Turkey

The odds of war.

39_030204_saddameter_91

Chance of Invasion
Today: 91 percent

Turkish leader tells his party 1) Iraq "isn't taking the necessary steps" for peace; and 2) "The decisions we make for war are not because we want a war, but so we can contribute to peace" by taking part in and influencing "the operation" in Iraq. Translation: U.S. will get its northern front. Despite Blair's lobbying, Chirac reiterates inspectors should get to decide how long they need. Iraq says it will "explore" proposal by European Parliament members to let non-Iraqis (rather than Iraqi agents) serve as witnesses to scientists' interviews. Britain says Iraq has thoroughly bugged inspectors but gives no documentation.

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Will Saletan covers science, technology, and politics for Slate and says a lot things that get him in trouble.