Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Feb. 4 2003 2:34 PM

Pressed Turkey

The odds of war.

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Chance of Invasion
Today: 91 percent

Turkish leader tells his party 1) Iraq "isn't taking the necessary steps" for peace; and 2) "The decisions we make for war are not because we want a war, but so we can contribute to peace" by taking part in and influencing "the operation" in Iraq. Translation: U.S. will get its northern front. Despite Blair's lobbying, Chirac reiterates inspectors should get to decide how long they need. Iraq says it will "explore" proposal by European Parliament members to let non-Iraqis (rather than Iraqi agents) serve as witnesses to scientists' interviews. Britain says Iraq has thoroughly bugged inspectors but gives no documentation.

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Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.