Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Feb. 5 2003 7:53 PM

Powell Movement

The odds of war.

33_030205_saddameter_95

Chance of Invasion
Today: 95 percent

Powell presents U.S. intelligence to Security Council. Members buy the evidence and agree that Iraq's current level of cooperation is inadequate, providing international cover for a U.S.-led war coalition. Most want to continue inspections, but none threatens to veto a use-of-force resolution.

22_saddameter_graph

Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

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