Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Feb. 27 2003 11:46 PM

Missile Epistle

The odds of war.

92_030225_saddameter_98

Chance of Invasion
Today: 98 percent

Security Council debate goes nowhere. Mexico shifts toward U.S. position to make nice with Bush; Angola calls for more dialogue with U.S. "to see how we can accommodate each other." Pakistani diplomats say Pakistan will probably abstain but might vote with U.S. Blix report says inspection "results in terms of disarmament have been very limited," and "It is hard to understand why a number of the measures which are now being taken [by Iraq] could not have been initiated earlier." Iraq agrees to destroy banned missiles "in principle" but asks Blix to send a team to "establish a framework and timetable" for it. Turkey postpones its vote on U.S. troop deployments again. Powell suggests Arab League could encourage Saddam "to step down."

22_saddameter_graph

Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

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