Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Feb. 20 2003 5:49 PM

Casual Cockies

The odds of war.

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Chance of Invasion
Today: 94 percent

Iraq coughs up list of biological and missile scientists demanded by Blix, but U.N. officials tell Washington Post Iraq is getting cocky and "not fulfilling" promises to search for documents and produce scientists for unmonitored interviews. U.N. sources say Blix will ask Iraq to destroy missiles Iraq insists are legal. Turkey ignores Powell's demand for a reply by Thursday to "final" U.S. troop deployment proposal. U.S. officials brag anonymously that they have a Plan B for a northern front. Security Council members Angola, Cameroon, and Guinea sign a declaration at Franco-African summit expressing "support for the continuation of the inspections."

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Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

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