Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Feb. 18 2003 4:59 PM

Ankara Management

The odds of war.

39_030204_saddameter_91

Chance of Invasion
Today: 92 percent

Inspectors say that Iraqi scientists have refused unrecorded interviews since Feb. 7 and that this is unsatisfactory. Turkish-U.S. "final offer" negotiating game continues. Body language says U.S. will blink first. U.S. and Britain plan to introduce a resolution this week saying Iraq is in "material breach" and faces "serious consequences." Blair defends Bush against British anti-war protesters. Chirac implicitly threatens Eastern Europeans with rejection of EU membership over pro-U.S./anti-French statements on Iraq.

22_saddameter_graph

Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

  Slate Plus
Working
March 30 2015 11:32 AM The “How Does a U.N. Official Work?” Transcript What’s it like to manage the U.N.’s Ebola response? Read a transcript of Adam Davidson’s conversation with the assistant secretary-general for field support.