Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Jan. 16 2003 4:12 PM

War Headed

The odds of war.

Chance of Invasion
Today: 64 percent

In Iraq, U.N. inspectors discover warheads capable of carrying chemical weapons and interview two Iraqi scientists. One is allowed to accompany U.N. inspectors to an undisclosed location. At a U.N. Security Council meeting today, the U.S. says it doesn't want to wait for a March report from Blix before making a decision on war. Russia and France would rather wait. The U.S. says that if the U.N. delays making a decision (by insisting on a second resolution), it would consider going to war anyway. Blair says he wouldn't rule out lending a hand. Russia's foreign minister argues that unilateral action "is capable only of worsening the already difficult situation." Rumsfeld counters that failing to act would undermine the U.N. Peace spin: Key members of the war coalition want a deliberate process and are digging in their heels. War spin: They may cave once they hear about the warheads. And if they don't, the U.S. may go to war without them.


Julia Turner is the editor in chief of Slate and a regular on Slate's Culture Gabfest podcast.



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