Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Jan. 2 2003 4:11 PM

One of the Fingers on the Button Will Be German

The odds of war.

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Chance of Invasion
Today: 69 percent

Germany joins Security Council but backs off its hard line against war. Inspectors say they've found "zilch." Korea news completely buries Iraq news. Third-hand Iranian report says U.S. and Russia are weighing a plan to offer Saddam refuge in Moscow if he steps down. Thousands of U.S. troops head toward Gulf. War spin: The troops are for war. Peace spin: They're for added pressure and won't affect Security Council votes.

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