Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Jan. 2 2003 4:11 PM

One of the Fingers on the Button Will Be German

The odds of war.

1_123125_2074143_2076263_2076265_2076275_030103_saddameter_69

Chance of Invasion
Today: 69 percent

Germany joins Security Council but backs off its hard line against war. Inspectors say they've found "zilch." Korea news completely buries Iraq news. Third-hand Iranian report says U.S. and Russia are weighing a plan to offer Saddam refuge in Moscow if he steps down. Thousands of U.S. troops head toward Gulf. War spin: The troops are for war. Peace spin: They're for added pressure and won't affect Security Council votes.

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Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

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