Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Jan. 28 2003 12:15 PM

Biting the Hans

The odds of war.

1_123125_2074143_2076263_2076265_2076275_030128_saddameter_80

Chance of Invasion
Today: 80 percent

Dispute sharpens and solidifies between Blix and Iraq. Blix: "Iraq appears not to have come to a genuine acceptance—not even today—of the disarmament which was demanded of it. … [Iraq's Dec. 7 declaration] does not seem to contain any new evidence that would eliminate the questions." Iraq's U.N. ambassador: "Iraq has fully complied with all its obligations. … All the remaining disarmament issues referred to in Mr. Blix's statement were actually explained in our declaration." U.S. says it will publicly disclose intelligence showing Iraq is hiding WMD from inspectors. Peace spin: Security Council skeptics still aren't budging. War spin: Iraq is eliminating the alternatives to war.

 

22_saddameter_graph

Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

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