Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Jan. 15 2003 5:47 PM

Annan and On

The odds of war.

39_021212_saddameter

Chance of Invasion
Today: 61 percent

Fleischer says Saddam should "leave Iraq and go on trial." Rumsfeld says "No one wants war." But in an unannounced meeting, Condi Rice urges Blixnot to postpone a complete report on inspections until March. Also to "exercise his authority to take Iraqi scientists out of the country for confidential interviews" (Blix has plans to interview scientists in Iraq next week). The Pentagon asks Iraqi exiles to gather at a U.S. military facility so it can prep them to aid in an Iraq invasion as translators and guides. Saddam lets U.N. inspectors conduct a surprise examination of one of his palaces. Annan says he's still "optimistic" that war can be averted. Russian and Egyptian envoys will meet with Iraqi officials this week. War spin: Bushies are growing impatient with plodding inspections. Peace spin: Everyone else is inclined to be patient with plodding inspections.

22_saddameter_graph

Julia Turner is the editor in chief of Slate and a regular on Slate's Culture Gabfest podcast.

TODAY IN SLATE

Politics

Meet the New Bosses

How the Republicans would run the Senate.

The U.S. Is So, So Far Behind Europe on Clean Energy

The Government Is Giving Millions of Dollars in Electric-Car Subsidies to the Wrong Drivers

The Best Thing About the People’s Climate March in NYC

Friends Was the Last Purely Pleasurable Sitcom

The Eye

This Whimsical Driverless Car Imagines Transportation in 2059

Medical Examiner

Did America Get Fat by Drinking Diet Soda?  

A high-profile study points the finger at artificial sweeteners.

A Woman Who Escaped the Extreme Babymaking Christian Fundamentalism of Quiverfull

John Oliver Debunks the Miss America Pageant’s Claim That It Gives Out $45 Million in Scholarships

Trending News Channel
Sept. 20 2014 11:13 AM Watch Flashes of Lightning Created in a Lab  
  News & Politics
Over There
Sept. 22 2014 1:29 PM “That’s Called Jim Crow” Philip Gourevitch on America’s hypocritical interventions in Africa.
  Business
Moneybox
Sept. 22 2014 1:37 PM Subprime Loans Are Back! And believe it or not, that’s a good thing.
  Life
Lexicon Valley
Sept. 22 2014 1:22 PM Is Arabic Really Just One Language? 
  Double X
The XX Factor
Sept. 22 2014 12:29 PM Escaping the Extreme Christian Fundamentalism of "Quiverfull"
  Slate Plus
Slate Plus
Sept. 22 2014 1:52 PM Tell Us What You Think About Slate Plus Help us improve our new membership program.
  Arts
Television
Sept. 22 2014 2:12 PM Crusader, Sans Cape The superhero trappings of Gotham are just a clever disguise.
  Technology
Future Tense
Sept. 22 2014 12:14 PM Family Court Rules That You Can Serve Someone With Legal Papers Over Facebook
  Health & Science
Science
Sept. 22 2014 12:15 PM The Changing Face of Climate Change Will the leaders of the People’s Climate March now lead the movement?
  Sports
Sports Nut
Sept. 18 2014 11:42 AM Grandmaster Clash One of the most amazing feats in chess history just happened, and no one noticed.