Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.
Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.
The odds of war in Iraq.
Jan. 29 2003 4:16 PM

Ammo Dump

The odds of war.


Chance of Invasion
Today: 84 percent

Bush says 1) U.S. intelligence shows Saddam is hiding WMD, silencing scientists, and helping al-Qaida; and 2) Powell will present this intelligence to Security Council Feb. 5. Bush indicates Saddam has blown "his final chance." Britain agrees Iraq is in "material breach" of U.N. resolution. Blair will lobby European leaders to support war. Russia says it could end up supporting war but now sees no "grounds for the use of military force."


Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

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