Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.
Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.
The odds of war in Iraq.
Dec. 22 2002 4:31 PM

Show Intel

The odds of war.


Chance of Invasion
Friday: 75 percent

U.S. will give inspectors satellite intelligence, possibly this weekend, to guide inspections. U.S. may also supply lists of Iraqi scientists to interview. Turkey remains undecided on assisting war. American officials indicate invasion decision will be made by Jan. 27, one day before the State of the Union. Peace spin: If Iraq changes course, it can still avoid war. War spin: If Iraq doesn't change course, it can't avoid war.


Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.