Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Dec. 12 2002 5:49 PM

Iraq and al-Qaida, Part VX

The odds of war.

39_021212_saddameter

Chance of Invasion
Today: 61 percent

Two American officials tell Washington PostU.S. has a "credible report" of al-Qaida associates getting a chemical weapon, suspected to be VX, from Iraq in recent weeks. No information on whether Saddam was aware of the alleged transaction. Iraq denies the story. Other U.S. officials tell AP there's no credible evidence of Iraq providing VX to al-Qaida. Meanwhile, Los Angeles Times says Bush's courtship of crucial Turkish help is in trouble. War spin: Aha! The link between al-Qaida and Iraq is proved! Peace spin: This is the best Cheney's leakers can come up with?