Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Dec. 31 2002 3:23 PM

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The odds of war.

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Chance of Invasion
Today: 71 percent

Washington Times reports U.S. intelligence officials think Iraq is 1) hiding two scientists in Saddam's palaces and 2) hiding WMD underground. Annan says, "Iraq is cooperating, and [inspectors] are able to do their work in an unimpeded manner. Therefore I don't see an argument for a military action now." Bush's budget director slashes war cost projections to more palatable level. North Korean crisis escalates, dwarfing Iraq news. Peace spin: With all eyes on North Korea, nobody's watching Saddam. War spin: With all eyes on North Korea, nobody's watching Bush.

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