Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Dec. 2 2002 5:33 PM

Egad, a Cad in Baghdad

The odds of war.

74_021118_saddameter

Chance of Invasion
Today: 58 percent

1) First inspection uh-oh: Equipment tagged by inspectors years ago has vanished from a missile site. Iraq says it was moved or demolished by Western bombing. 2) British report says Saddam is cruel. Reaction: Yawn, another Saddam-bites-man story. 3) Bush says Iraq's level of cooperation is "not encouraging." But N.Y. Times reports that regimes bordering Iraq are conditioning assistance to U.S. on the appearance of U.N. authority for war. War spin: Bush will judge Saddam to be noncompliant. Peace spin: Bush's opinion won't be enough.