Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Dec. 13 2002 5:42 PM

Crude Gesture

The odds of war.

65_021213_saddameter

Chance of Invasion
Today: 67 percent

U.S. officials say Iraq's WMD report doesn't even try to explain what happened to weapons documented by previous inspectors. They debate whether this is grounds for war. New York Times sources dismiss Washington Post story about a "credible" report of Iraq passing VX to al-Qaida. Iraq cancels an oil contract with Russian companies, jeopardizing support on U.N. Security Council. U.S. presses Blix to demand that Iraq produce scientists for interviews outside the country. Peace spin: Iraq will say no. War spin: Exactly.