Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Dec. 26 2002 4:05 PM

Coup Coup Clock

The odds of war.

85_021226_saddameter

Chance of Invasion
Today: 77 percent

Formal interviews of Iraqi scientists begin. Iraqi official sees no need to take scientists out of the country: "We don't support or reject interviews, we leave this to the persons to decide for themselves." North Korea warns of war with U.S., but U.S. says it's just hot air. Peace spin: Saddam's generals will oust him. War spin: Not until "they hear guns start firing."

Monday: 75 percent

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Will Saletan writes about politics, science, technology, and other stuff for Slate. He’s the author of Bearing Right.

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