Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Nov. 19 2002 6:36 PM

The Saddameter

The odds of war.

33_021119_saddameter

Chance of Invasion
Today: 56 percent

U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan says Security Council won't buy U.S. argument that shots fired by Iraq at planes patrolling no-fly zones violates the latest U.N. resolution. White House backs off that argument. Meanwhile, Iraq says it will comply fully with inspections and disclosure deadlines. Peace spin: U.S. made its case for declaring Iraq noncompliant and was shot down. War spin: This was just the beginning of the case.

Yesterday: 58 percent