Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Nov. 21 2002 5:58 PM

The Saddameter

The odds of war.

33_021119_saddameter

Chance of Invasion Today: 57 percent

NATO pledges "to assist … efforts of the U.N. to ensure full and immediate compliance by Iraq" but doesn't say how. Germany's foreign minister repeats that his country "will not take part in a military strike." Focus shifts to key al-Qaida operative reported to be in U.S. custody. Peace spin: See? Fighting al-Qaida is more important than fighting Iraq. War spin: See? We can do both.