Chance of Invasion Today: 57 percent
NATO pledges "to assist … efforts of the U.N. to ensure full and immediate compliance by Iraq" but doesn't say how. Germany's foreign minister repeats that his country "will not take part in a military strike." Focus shifts to key al-Qaida operative reported to be in U.S. custody. Peace spin: See? Fighting al-Qaida is more important than fighting Iraq. War spin: See? We can do both.