Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Nov. 25 2002 4:54 PM

The Saddameter

The odds of war.

The Saddameter

Chance of Invasion
Today: 58 percent

Inspectors prepare to visit sites starting Wednesday. They plan to begin with the obvious sites and gradually pull more surprises. Their spokeswoman says they'll "test cooperation." Peace spin: They won't find a smoking gun because Iraq has become cleverer at hiding its weapons. War spin: They'll find obstruction because Iraq is still paranoid about hiding its weapons.