Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

Are we going to war? Slate updates the odds.

The odds of war in Iraq.
Nov. 26 2002 5:16 PM

The Saddameter

The odds of war.

31_021126_saddameter

Chance of Invasion
Today: 60 percent

Headlines: 1) Iraq again denies having any weapons of mass destruction. 2) Iraq suggests inspectors may not get the same access to ministries and "presidential sites" as to factories. Underplayed stories: 1) Blix indicates Iraq can get away with an incomplete Dec. 8 report on its WMD programs. 2) Russia's U.N. ambassador says that he believes Iraq has no WMD programs and that the Dec. 8 deadline should be extended. Peace spin: U.N. won't authorize an attack. War spin: U.S. will.