The Lead Is Safe
How to tell when a college basketball game is out of reach.
Also in Slate, Josh Levin runs through the Teams We Hate in this year’s bracket, and Chris Wilson explains a system that will help you win your NCAA pool.
Correction, March 17, 2008: This piece originally misstated a possible heuristic for determining whether a basketball lead is safe. Rather than "[t]he game is over when the number of points you are ahead (or behind) is more than 10 times the number of seconds left in the game," it should have read "more than one-tenth the numbers of seconds." (Return to the corrected sentence.)
Bill James is the author of The Bill James Gold Mine 2009and the proprietor of Bill James Online.
Photograph of Tyler Hansbrough by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images.



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