Welcome to Slate's new polling feature, in which we ask you to give us your predictions about stuff in the news. The idea here, elucidated in James Surowiecki's The Wisdom of Crowds and elsewhere, is that when it comes to forecasting the future, collective intelligence is often more accurate than expert opinion. The first question is pretty straightforward: Which team will win the World Cup?

This poll has now closed. See the results below, and check back before the quarterfinals for a new poll with the remaining teams. In the meantime, please check out our other polls.

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