UPDATE, July 28: On July 27, BP announced that Tony Hayward would be stepping down on Oct. 1. So when, exactly, did or will he "lose his job," which is how we asked the question? And how did Slate readers do in predicting his departure? The short answer: Not so good. The mean response was Aug. 29—off by more than a month no matter how you measure it—and the median was Aug. 16, only a few weeks after the announcement but  more than  six weeks before his scheduled departure. On the bright side, 47 of you said he would lose his job on July 27, while 58 predicted he would lose it on Oct. 1. Let's call you both half-right.

The phrase "embattled CEO" may have been invented for Tony Hayward, who currently holds that title at BP. Hayward has said he will not resign, and Slate's Daniel Gross makes the case that it's not in BP's interest to fire him. Still, when you're in charge of the corporation responsible for the largest oil spill in history, it's probably only a matter of time before you lose your job. Which lead us to ask the question: When will Tony Hayward lose his?

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