The Slate Poll: Where we ask you to predict the future.

Slate readers predict the future.
July 2 2010 12:49 PM

The Slate Poll

Where we ask readers to predict the future.

Welcome to Slate's polling feature, in which we ask you to give us your predictions about stuff in the news. The idea here, elucidated in James Surowiecki's  The Wisdom of Crowds and elsewhere, is that when it comes to forecasting the future, collective intelligence is often more accurate than expert opinion. See our complete polling archives below.


How Many Hurricanes?
The National Hurricane Center's updated prediction—issued just this month—is for a 90 percent chance of an "
above-normal season," with seven to 11 hurricanes. How many hurricanes will make landfall on the continental United States this season?

This poll is closed. See reader predictions here.

How much is a share of GM worth?
When GM returns to the stock exchange, you—meaning a private investor—will be able to purchase shares in GM. How much will a share of GM's stock will be worth at the end of its first day back?

This poll is closed. See reader predictions here.


Who Will Win the World Cup? Round 2.
Before the World Cup began, we asked you to choose which team would win it all. to According
the 12,064 Slate readers who voted, the most likely winner was Spain, followed by Brazil. Now that we're down to the quarterfinals, we're now giving everyone a do-over. The eight teams to choose from are actually the eight teams left.

This poll is closed.See reader predictions  here.


How Many Votes Will Elena Kagan get?
Elena Kagan's confirmation hearings before the Senate judiciary committee are under way. With 57 Democrats, 41 Republicans, and two Independents in the Senate, how many votes will Kagan get?

This poll is closed. See reader predictions  here.

Tony Hayward: the face of the BP oil spill.

When will Tony Hayward lose his job?
When you're in charge of the corporation responsible for the largest oil spill in history, it's probably only a matter of time before you lose your job. Which leads to the question: When will Tony Hayward lose his?

This poll is closed. See reader predictions here.



Who Will Win the World Cup?
For our inaugural poll, we asked you to predict who would win the World Cup and offered you nine choices (the top seven-ranked teams, the United States, and "other." We'll update the list of choices as the tournament progresses, so check back before the quarterfinals for a new poll with the remaining teams.

This poll is closed. See reader predictions here.



Scalia’s Liberal Streak

The conservative justice’s most brilliant—and surprisingly progressive—moments on the bench.

Colorado Is Ground Zero for the Fight Over Female Voters

There’s a Way to Keep Ex-Cons Out of Prison That Pays for Itself. Why Don’t More States Use It?

The NFL Explains How It Sees “the Role of the Female”

The Music Industry Is Ignoring Some of the Best Black Women Singing R&B


Theo’s Joint and Vanessa’s Whiskey

No sitcom did the “Very Special Episode” as well as The Cosby Show.


The Other Huxtable Effect

Thirty years ago, The Cosby Show gave us one of TV’s great feminists.

Cliff Huxtable Explains the World: Five Lessons From TV’s Greatest Dad

Why Television Needs a New Cosby Show Right Now

  News & Politics
Sept. 18 2014 8:20 PM A Clever Attempt at Explaining Away a Vote Against the Farm Bill
Sept. 18 2014 6:02 PM A Chinese Company Just Announced the Biggest IPO in U.S. History
The Slate Quiz
Sept. 18 2014 11:44 PM Play the Slate News Quiz With Jeopardy! superchampion Ken Jennings.
  Double X
Sept. 18 2014 8:07 PM Crying Rape False rape accusations exist, and they are a serious problem.
  Slate Plus
Behind the Scenes
Sept. 18 2014 1:23 PM “It’s Not Every Day That You Can Beat the World Champion” An exclusive interview with chess grandmaster Fabiano Caruana.
Brow Beat
Sept. 18 2014 4:33 PM The Top 5 Dadsplaining Moments From The Cosby Show
Future Tense
Sept. 18 2014 6:48 PM By 2100 the World's Population Could Be 11 Billion
  Health & Science
Sept. 18 2014 3:35 PM Do People Still Die of Rabies? And how do you know if an animal is rabid?
Sports Nut
Sept. 18 2014 11:42 AM Grandmaster Clash One of the most amazing feats in chess history just happened, and no one noticed.