Election Day Dispatches

Early Swing State Reports From the Obama and Romney Campaigns
Who's winning, who's losing, and why.
Nov. 6 2012 12:47 PM

Election Day Dispatches

VIEW ALL ENTRIES

Early swing state reports from the Obama and Romney campaigns.   

155341909

Justin Sullivan

Dave,

John Dickerson John Dickerson

John Dickerson is Slate's chief political correspondent and author of On Her Trail. Read his series on the presidency and on risk.

Give me anecdotes. I can match them against the campaigns. So, for example, the Obama campaign says there are long lines in Madison, Wisc. and I rate that true because people on the ground there report long lines and lots of same-day registration. The Romney campaign says the vote is down in the Democratic stronghold of Miami-Dade County, and I rate that as not true because of stories of people waiting in line and my television screen which shows people in a line in Miami-Dade that seems to stretch to Georgia. On CNN, they are people saying they’ve waited in line for three hours.

This is the last desperate gasp of the spin war. Here’s what I’m hearing from the campaigns.

From the Obama campaign: Those Madison lines are long. This is Dane County, a big Obama area. The Obama campaign said 10 percent of its 2008 tally came from same-day voter registrations on Election Day. They're banking on it again. So if this holds all day, it's a sign Obama is running up the score in the areas he needs to win. Obama folks are also reporting big turnouts in their strongholds of Cuyahoga County in Ohio and across northern Virginia.

Team Romney’s best turnout facts on background from the campaign:

Two-hour lines reported in Florida’s Walton County, a county that voted 73.2 percent for George W. Bush in 2004—21 points above the statewide percentage for Bush.

Sounds impressive, but Walton is a pretty small county. There are lots of other GOP strongholds they should be boasting about. Walton went for McCain by 72 percent, which means it is the reddest of the red.

The Romney camp is also saying there are hour-plus lines in Florida’s Escambia County (Pensacola). This is a more robust county and would mean that Republicans are turning out their vote, if this is a sign of genuine turnout.

Also news out of Pasco: long lines and Republicans outvoting Democrats by nearly 2 to 1, says the Romney team. The Romney campaign calls this a swing county, but it's not really a swing county. In 2008, Barack Obama carried Florida by 3 percentage points. He lost Pasco County. Two years ago, Rick Scott narrowly won the governor's mansion by 1 point. His won Pasco by 9.

TODAY IN SLATE

Foreigners

The World’s Politest Protesters

The Occupy Central demonstrators are courteous. That’s actually what makes them so dangerous.

The Religious Right Is Not Happy With Republicans  

The XX Factor
Oct. 1 2014 4:58 PM The Religious Right Is Not Happy With Republicans  

How Did the Royals Win Despite Bunting So Many Times? Bunting Is a Terrible Strategy.

Federal Law Enforcement Has Declared War on Encryption

Justice and the FBI really do not like Apple’s and Google’s new privacy measures.

Homeland Is Good Again! For Now.

Crime

Operation Backbone

How White Boy Rick, a legendary Detroit cocaine dealer, helped the FBI uncover brazen police corruption.

Music

How Even an Old Hipster Can Age Gracefully

On their new albums, Leonard Cohen, Robert Plant, and Loudon Wainwright III show three ways.

The One Fact About Ebola That Should Calm You: It Spreads Slowly

Piper Kerman on Why She Dressed Like a Hitchcock Heroine for Her Prison Sentencing

  News & Politics
Politics
Oct. 1 2014 7:26 PM Talking White Black people’s disdain for “proper English” and academic achievement is a myth.
  Business
Moneybox
Oct. 1 2014 2:16 PM Wall Street Tackles Chat Services, Shies Away From Diversity Issues 
  Life
Outward
Oct. 1 2014 6:02 PM Facebook Relaxes Its “Real Name” Policy; Drag Queens Celebrate
  Double X
The XX Factor
Oct. 1 2014 5:11 PM Celebrity Feminist Identification Has Reached Peak Meaninglessness
  Slate Plus
Behind the Scenes
Oct. 1 2014 3:24 PM Revelry (and Business) at Mohonk Photos and highlights from Slate’s annual retreat.
  Arts
Brow Beat
Oct. 1 2014 6:39 PM Spoiler Special: Transparent
  Technology
Future Tense
Oct. 1 2014 6:59 PM EU’s Next Digital Commissioner Thinks Keeping Nude Celeb Photos in the Cloud Is “Stupid”
  Health & Science
Science
Oct. 1 2014 4:03 PM Does the Earth Really Have a “Hum”? Yes, but probably not the one you’re thinking.
  Sports
Sports Nut
Oct. 1 2014 5:19 PM Bunt-a-Palooza! How bad was the Kansas City Royals’ bunt-all-the-time strategy in the American League wild-card game?