Election Day Dispatches

Romney’s Ohio Polling Was Right—And He’s Losing
Who's winning, who's losing, and why.
Nov. 6 2012 9:51 PM

Election Day Dispatches

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Romney’s Ohio polling was right—and he’s losing.

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Obama is leading in Ohio

Justin Sullivan

Belmont County in the eastern part of Ohio is one of those places where Mitt Romney thought he could pick off Democratic voters, especially among white working-class men. During the early voting period, Republicans were worried about the size of the early vote in Belmont, which is traditionally Democratic turf. Obama won it. Kerry won it. Romney should have been getting the vote there among coal country voters who were angry at the president's policies. So Republicans called voters in the county to see what was going on. They said they were voting for Romney. It turns out they were right. Obama beat McCain in the county by less than a percentage point. Romney is winning it 55 percent to 43 percent right now, with half of the vote in. So the GOP targeting in the state was correct, but their overall plan for Ohio does not appear to be. Obama seems to be moving toward a win. CBS has put Ohio into the lean Obama column. 

John Dickerson is Slate's chief political correspondent and author of On Her Trail. Read his series on the presidency and on risk.