Why Today Could Still Be Mitt Romney’s Day

Who's winning, who's losing, and why.
Nov. 6 2012 3:33 PM

A Ray of Hope

Why today could still be Mitt Romney’s day.

1209_POL_Romney_RoH_250

Every day until the election, Slate will offer up one reason to be optimistic for your candidate.

Today is Election Day.

Today’s Good News for Romney: On Election Day, the math still isn’t in Romney’s favor, but it’s not over. Romney thinks his path to victory is to win 61 percent of white voters as long as white voters comprise 74 percent of the vote—and the Obama camp agrees. One campaign staffer told the Daily Beast the biggest fear was “a huge white turnout. Kind of like what Bush hit us (John Kerry) with in ’04.” The latest polls show 59 percent of white voters supporting Romney—the biggest racial split since 1988. Meanwhile, we already have the data on early voting, which shows that there were fewer registered Democrats voting early this year than there were in 2008 by a 4- to 8-point margin across swing states. Though the Obama camp has reason to be optimistic, they should be concerned about turning out the base, and the early voting numbers aren’t a great sign.

Kara Brandeisky is a Slate intern and student at Georgetown University

TODAY IN SLATE

Politics

The Democrats’ War at Home

How can the president’s party defend itself from the president’s foreign policy blunders?

An Iranian Woman Was Sentenced to Death for Killing Her Alleged Rapist. Can Activists Save Her?

Piper Kerman on Why She Dressed Like a Hitchcock Heroine for Her Prison Sentencing

Windows 8 Was So Bad That Microsoft Will Skip Straight to Windows 10

We Need to Talk: A Terrible Name for a Good Women’s Sports Show

Politics

Cringing. Ducking. Mumbling.

How GOP candidates react whenever someone brings up reproductive rights or gay marriage.

Music

How Even an Old Hipster Can Age Gracefully

On their new albums, Leonard Cohen, Robert Plant, and Loudon Wainwright III show three ways.

The U.S. Has a New Problem in Syria: The Moderate Rebels Feel Like We’ve Betrayed Them

Homeland Is Good Again! For Now, at Least.

  News & Politics
The World
Oct. 1 2014 12:20 PM Don’t Expect Hong Kong’s Protests to Spread to the Mainland
  Business
Moneybox
Oct. 1 2014 2:16 PM Wall Street Tackles Chat Services, Shies Away From Diversity Issues 
  Life
The Eye
Oct. 1 2014 1:04 PM An Architectural Crusade Against the Tyranny of Straight Lines
  Double X
The XX Factor
Oct. 1 2014 2:08 PM We Need to Talk: Terrible Name, Good Show
  Slate Plus
Political Gabfest
Oct. 1 2014 1:53 PM Slate Superfest East How to get your tickets before anyone else.
  Arts
Brow Beat
Oct. 1 2014 2:24 PM The New Interstellar Trailer Is the Most Exciting Yet
  Technology
Future Tense
Oct. 1 2014 2:26 PM The Apple Graveyard Leave a flower for a dead Apple product.
  Health & Science
Science
Oct. 1 2014 2:36 PM Climate Science Is Settled Enough The Wall Street Journal’s fresh face of climate inaction.
  Sports
Sports Nut
Sept. 30 2014 5:54 PM Goodbye, Tough Guy It’s time for Michigan to fire its toughness-obsessed coach, Brady Hoke.