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In Defense of Exit Polls

You just don't know how to use them.

By |Posted Thursday, Nov. 4, 2004, at 11:07 AM

(Continued from Page 1)

Florida
Kerry 50
Bush  49

Ohio
Kerry 50
Bush  49

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Pennsylvania
Kerry 54
Bush 45

Wisconsin
Kerry 51
Bush 46

Michigan
Kerry 51
Bush  47

Minnesota
Kerry 58
Bush  40

Nevada
Kerry 48
Bush  50

New Mexico
Kerry 50
Bush  48

North Carolina
Kerry 49
Bush  51

Colorado
Kerry 46
Bush  53

On this scoreboard, Kerry has the larger number in all "trifecta" states (Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania) decreed by every certified pundit as the key to victory in '04. In the second tier of battleground states Kerry has the better numbers overall. Shortly after these numbers were public, a friend in Dallas called and offered me heavy odds on Kerry. He owes me a hundred bucks. Thanks, Slate.

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Martin Plissner is former executive political director of CBS News and the author of The Control Room—How Television Calls the Shots in Presidential Elections.